Suppose the lengths of the pregnancies of a certain animal are approximately normally distributed with mean = 246 days and standard deviation 13 days. Complete parts (a) through (1) below
(a) What is the probability that a randomly selected pregnancy lasts less than 242 days?
The probability that a randomly selected pregnancy lasts less than 242 days is approximately (Round to four decimal places as needed)
a

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ANSWER

0.3783

EXPLANATION

The lengths of the pregnancies, X, is normally distributed with a mean of 246 days and a standard deviation of 13 days,

[tex]X=N(246,13)[/tex]

We have to find the probability that a randomly selected pregnancy lasts less than 242 days,

[tex]P(X<242)=?[/tex]

For this, we have to standardize the variable X with the formula,

[tex]Z=\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

So the probability we have to solve is,

[tex]P(X<242)=P\mleft(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{242-\mu}{\sigma}\mright)=P\mleft(Z<\frac{242-246}{13}\mright)=P(Z<-0.31)[/tex]

This is equivalent to,

[tex]P(Z<-0.31)=P(Z>0.31)[/tex]

Which is also equivalent to,

[tex]P(Z>0.31)=1-P(Z<0.31)[/tex]

We have to find these equivalences because, usually, normal distribution tables show the probabilities for positive z-scores and to the left of those values - i.e. less than those values. Find z = 0.31 in a z-table,

So, the probability is,

[tex]P(X<242)=1-P(Z<0.31)=1-0.6217=0.3783[/tex]

Hence, the probability that a randomly selected pregnancy lasts less than 242 days is 0.3783.

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