Suppose 55U% of the population has a retirement account. If a random sample of size 639639 is selected, what is the probability that the proportion of persons with a retirement account will differ from the population proportion by less than 3%3%

Respuesta :

Answer:

The probability is [tex]P(|\^ p - p | < 0.03) = 0.87224[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

From the question we are told that

  The population proportion is  p =  0.55

   The sample size is  n  =  639

Generally the standard deviation of this sampling distribution is mathematically represented as

        [tex]\sigma = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 -p)}{n} }[/tex]

=>     [tex]\sigma = \sqrt{\frac{0.55 ( 1 -0.55)}{639 } }[/tex]

=>     [tex]\sigma = 0.0197[/tex]

Generally the probability that the proportion of persons with a retirement account will differ from the population proportion by less than 3% is mathematically evaluated as

       [tex]P(|\^ p - p | < 0.03) = P( \frac{|\^ p - p |}{\sigma } < \frac{0.03}{0.0197} )[/tex]

[tex]\frac{|\^ p-p|}{\sigma }  =  |Z| (The  \ standardized \  value\  of  \ |\^ p - p|)[/tex]

       [tex]P(|\^ p - p | < 0.03) = P( {|Z| < 1.523 )[/tex]

=>    [tex]P(|\^ p - p | < 0.03) = P( -1.523 \le Z \le 1.523 )[/tex]

=>    [tex]P(|\^ p - p | < 0.03) = P( Z \le 1.523) - P( Z \le -1.523 )[/tex]

From the z table the area under the normal curve to the left corresponding to -1.523 is

         [tex]P(Z \le -1.523 ) = 0.063879[/tex]

From the z table the area under the normal curve to the left corresponding to  1.523 is

        [tex]P(Z \le 1.523 ) = 0.93612[/tex]

[tex]P(|\^ p - p | < 0.03) = 0.93612 - 0.063879[/tex]

[tex]P(|\^ p - p | < 0.03) = 0.87224[/tex]

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