The opera theater manager believes that 15% of the opera tickets for tonight's show have been sold. If the manager is right, what is the probability that the proportion of tickets sold in a sample of 411411 tickets would be less than 10%

Respuesta :

Answer:0.0023

Step-by-step explanation:

Given: The proportion that the opera tickets for tonight's show have been sold : p =0.15

Sample size : n=411

Let [tex]\hat{p}[/tex] be the sample proportion.

The probability that the proportion of tickets sold in a sample of 411411 tickets would be less than 10% :

[tex]P(\hat{p}<0.10)=P(\dfrac{\hat{p}-p}{\sqrt{\dfrac{p(1-p)}{n}}}<\dfrac{0.10-0.15}{\sqrt{\dfrac{0.15\times(1-0.15)}{411}}})\\\\=P(Z<\dfrac{-0.05}{\sqrt{\dfrac{0.1275)}{411}}})\ \ \ [Z=\dfrac{\hat{p}-p}{\sqrt{\dfrac{p(1-p)}{n}}} ]\\\\=P(Z<-2.84)=1-P(Z<2.84)\\\\=1- 0.9977\\\\=0.0023[/tex]

Hence, the required probability = 0.0023

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