It is known that 25% of inhabitants of a community favour a political party A.
A random sample of 20 inhabitants was selected from the community and each person was asked he/she will vote for party A in an impending election. This follows a Binomial distribution, what is the probability that:
(i) exactly two persons will vote for party A?
(ii) at least three persons will vote for party A?
(iii) fewer than two persons will vote for party A?

Respuesta :

Answer:

i) [tex]P(X=2)=(20C2)(0.25)^2 (1-0.25)^{20-2}=0.0669[/tex]

ii) [tex]P(X=0)=(20C0)(0.25)^0 (1-0.25)^{20-0}=0.00317[/tex]

[tex]P(X=1)=(20C1)(0.25)^1 (1-0.25)^{20-1}=0.0211[/tex]

[tex]P(X=2)=(20C2)(0.25)^2 (1-0.25)^{20-2}=0.0669[/tex]

And replacing we got:

[tex] P(X \geq 3) = 1- [0.00317+0.0211+0.0669]= 0.90883[/tex]

iii) [tex]P(X <2)= 0.00317+ 0.0211= 0.02427[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Let X the random variable of interest "number of inhabitants of a community favour a political party', on this case we now that:

[tex]X \sim Binom(n=20, p=0.25)[/tex]

The probability mass function for the Binomial distribution is given as:

[tex]P(X)=(nCx)(p)^x (1-p)^{n-x}[/tex]

Where (nCx) means combinatory and it's given by this formula:

[tex]nCx=\frac{n!}{(n-x)! x!}[/tex]

Part i

We want this probability:

[tex]P(X=2)=(20C2)(0.25)^2 (1-0.25)^{20-2}=0.0669[/tex]

Part ii

We want this probability:

[tex]P(X\geq 3)[/tex]

And we can use the complement rule and we have:

[tex]P(X\geq 3) = 1-P(X<3)= 1-P(X \leq 2) =1- [P(X=0) +P(X=1) +P(X=2)][/tex]

And if we find the individual probabilites we got:

[tex]P(X=0)=(20C0)(0.25)^0 (1-0.25)^{20-0}=0.00317[/tex]

[tex]P(X=1)=(20C1)(0.25)^1 (1-0.25)^{20-1}=0.0211[/tex]

[tex]P(X=2)=(20C2)(0.25)^2 (1-0.25)^{20-2}=0.0669[/tex]

And replacing we got:

[tex] P(X \geq 3) = 1- [0.00317+0.0211+0.0669]= 0.90883[/tex]

Part iii

We want this probability:

[tex] P(X <2)= P(X=0) +P(X=1)[/tex]

And replacing we got:

[tex]P(X <2)= 0.00317+ 0.0211= 0.02427[/tex]

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