Respuesta :
Record levels of migration to Germany over the last two years have called into question the country’s demographic projections. But Germany’s rapid shift to a more favourable profile is not a reason to postpone politically painful policy decisions about retirement and pensions.
At the beginning of this century, forecasts that were considered reliable predicted that Germany would lose more than ten million inhabitants by 2050, owing to declining immigration and a low average birth rate. Today, population projections are significantly brighter. According to the government’s latest calculations, Germany’s population could remain above 80 million until 2060, and the reduction in the labor supply might not be as drastic as was previously feared.
Demographic forecasts needed to be corrected significantly, because the number of immigrants to Germany has fluctuated wildly and unpredictably, as opposed to emigration from Germany, which has remained relatively stable.
During high-immigration periods – such as in the early 1990s, after the collapse of the Soviet Union, or in the wake of the mid-1990s Balkan wars – population projections were fairly optimistic, because it was assumed that net migration would remain relatively high in the future as well.
At the beginning of this century, forecasts that were considered reliable predicted that Germany would lose more than ten million inhabitants by 2050, owing to declining immigration and a low average birth rate. Today, population projections are significantly brighter. According to the government’s latest calculations, Germany’s population could remain above 80 million until 2060, and the reduction in the labor supply might not be as drastic as was previously feared.
Demographic forecasts needed to be corrected significantly, because the number of immigrants to Germany has fluctuated wildly and unpredictably, as opposed to emigration from Germany, which has remained relatively stable.
During high-immigration periods – such as in the early 1990s, after the collapse of the Soviet Union, or in the wake of the mid-1990s Balkan wars – population projections were fairly optimistic, because it was assumed that net migration would remain relatively high in the future as well.
The demographic factor, regarding population age in Germany, which impacts international migration into the country isjob opportunity.
Why is Germany's population declining?
The population of Germany's is declining over some decades. Since 1972 to 2020, every year the population of Germany is decreasing, without migration. This decrement of population is a record in the world for such a long period.
The population age is the term which is used to represent the displacement in the organization of a country's population towards elderly age.
The Germany is the most popular country for immigrants in the world. On an average, there is total 1 million people are moving to the Germany each year since 2013. Hungary contributes most in the immigrants to Germany.
The demographic factor, regarding population age in Germany, which affects international migration into the country is job opportunity. The well-educated Germans do not want to keep low status and do low status jobs.
The population of Germany is also aging, which result in more job opportunity for the migrants.
Hence, the demographic factor, regarding population age in Germany, which impacts international migration into the country is job opportunity.
Learn more about the Germany's population here;
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