The probabilities that stock A will rise in price is 0.40 and that stock B will rise in price is 0.60. Further, if stock B rises in price, the probability that stock A will also rise in price is 0.50. a. What is the probability that at least one of the stocks will rise in price?

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Answer:

The probability that at least one of the stocks will rise in price is 0.70.

Step-by-step explanation:

The conditional probability of event X given that another event Y has already occurred is:

[tex]P(X|Y)=\frac{P(X\cap Y)}{P(Y)}[/tex]

Denote the events as follows:

A = stock A rises in price

B = stock B rises in price

Given:

P (A) = 0.40

P (B) = 0.50

P (A|B) = 0.50

Compute the value of P (A ∩ B) as follows:

[tex]P(A|B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}\\P(A\cap B)=P(A|B)P(B)\\=0.50\times0.60\\=0.30[/tex]

The probability that at least one of the stock rises is same as the probability of either stock A or B rising.

Compute the value of P (A ∪ B) as follows:

[tex]P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\\=0.40+0.60-0.30\\=0.70[/tex]

Thus, the probability that at least one of the stocks will rise in price is 0.70.

The probability that at least one of the stocks will rise in price is [tex]0.7[/tex].

Conditional Probability:

It is the  probability of event A given that another event B has already occurred is,

                      [tex]P(A/B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}[/tex]

Where,

  • A  represent stock A rises in price
  • B represent stock B rises in price

Given that,[tex]P (A) = 0.40, P (B) = 0.50, P (A|B) = 0.50[/tex]

Compute the value of [tex]P (A \cap B)[/tex]  shown below,

       [tex]P(A\cap B)=0.5*0.6=0.3[/tex]

The probability that at least one of the stocks will rise in price is,

         [tex]P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\\\\P(A\cup B)=0.4+0.6-0.3=0.7[/tex]

Learn more about the probability here:

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