Seventy percent of children who go to the doctor have fevers. Of those with fevers, 30% also have a rash. Of those without fevers, 20% have a rash. What is the probability that a child at the doctor's office with a rash does not have a fever

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Answer:

The probability that a child with a rash does not have a fever is 22%

Step-by-step explanation:

1. Probability of having fever:

[tex]P(fever)=0.70[/tex]

2. Probability of not having fever:

[tex]P(not fever)=1-P(fever)\\P(not fever)=1-0.70\\P(not fever)=0.30[/tex]

3. Probability of fave fevers and a rash:

[tex]P(fever and rash)=(0.70)(0.30)=0.21[/tex]

4. Probability of having a rash but not a fever:

[tex]P(rash and not fever)=(0.30)(0.20)=0.60[/tex]

5. Probability of having a rash:

[tex]P(rash)=P(rash and fever)+P(rash and no fever)\\P(rash)=0.21+0.06=0.27[/tex]

6. Probability a child with a rash does not have a fever

[tex]P=\frac{P(rash and not fever)}{P(rash)} =\frac{0.06}{0.27} =0.22[/tex]

22% of the child at the doctor's office with a rash does not have a fever.

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