Answer:
The probability that the good exam belongs to student X is 0.8571.
Step-by-step explanation:
It is provided that the probability that X did well in the exam is, P (X) = 0.90 and the probability that X did well in the exam is, P (Y) = 0.40,
Compute the probability that exactly one student does well in the exam as follows:
[tex]P(Either\ X\ or\ Y\ did\ well)=P(X\cap Y^{c})+P(X^{c}\cap Y)\\=P(X)P(Y^{c})+P(X^{c})P(Y)\\=P(X)[1-P(Y)]+[1-P(X)]P(Y)\\=(0.80\times0.60)+(0.20\times0.40)\\=0.56[/tex]
Then the probability that X is the one who did well in the exam is:
[tex]P(X\ did\ well\ in\ the\ exam)=\frac{P(X\cap Y^{c})}{P(X\cap Y^{c})+P(X^{c}\cap Y)}\\ =\frac{P(X)[1-P(Y)]}{P(X\cap Y^{c})+P(X^{c}\cap Y)} \\=\frac{0.80\times0.60}{0.56}\\=0.857143\\\approx0.8571[/tex]
Thus, the probability that the good exam belongs to student X is 0.8571.