A random sample of n 1 equals 135n1=135 individuals results in x 1 equals 40x1=40 successes. An independent sample of n 2 equals 150n2=150 individuals results in x 2 equals 60x2=60 successes. Does this represent sufficient evidence to conclude that p 1 less than p 2p1

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex]p_v =P(Z<-1.837)=0.033[/tex]  

If we compare the p value with any significance level for example [tex]\alpha=0.05,0.1[/tex] we see that [tex]p_v<\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, and we can say the the true proportion 1 is less than the true proportion 2, at 5% or 10% of significance .  

Step-by-step explanation:

1) Data given and notation  

[tex]X_{1}=40[/tex] represent the number of successes for 1

[tex]X_{2}=60[/tex] represent the number of successes for 2

[tex]n_{1}=135[/tex] sample of 1 selected

[tex]n_{2}=150[/tex] sample of 2 selected

[tex]\hat p_{1}=\frac{40}{135}=0.296[/tex] represent the sample proportion for 1

[tex]\hat p_{2}=\frac{60}{150}=0.40[/tex] represent the sample proportion 2  

z would represent the statistic (variable of interest)  

[tex]p_v[/tex] represent the value for the test (variable of interest)

2) Concepts and formulas to use  

We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to check if the proportion 1 is less than the proportion 2, the system of hypothesis would be:  

Null hypothesis:[tex]p_{1} \geq p_{2}[/tex]  

Alternative hypothesis:[tex]p_{1} < p_{2}[/tex]  

We need to apply a z test to compare proportions, and the statistic is given by:  

[tex]z=\frac{\hat p_{1}-\hat p_{2}}{\sqrt{\hat p (1-\hat p)(\frac{1}{n_{1}}+\frac{1}{n_{2}})}}[/tex]   (1)

Where [tex]\hat p=\frac{X_{1}+X_{2}}{n_{1}+n_{2}}=\frac{40+60}{135+150}=0.3509[/tex]

3) Calculate the statistic

Replacing in formula (1) the values obtained we got this:  

[tex]z=\frac{0.296-0.40}{\sqrt{0.3509(1-0.3509)(\frac{1}{135}+\frac{1}{150})}}=-1.837[/tex]  

4) Statistical decision

For this case we don't have a significance level provided [tex]\alpha[/tex], but we can calculate the p value for this test.  

Since is a one left tailed test the p value would be:  

[tex]p_v =P(Z<-1.837)=0.033[/tex]  

If we compare the p value with any significance level for example [tex]\alpha=0.05,0.1[/tex] we see that [tex]p_v<\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, and we can say the the true proportion 1 is less than the true proportion 2, at 5% or 10% of significance .  

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