Eighty percent of the students graduating from high school in a small Iowa farm town attend college. The town's chamber of commerce randomly selects 45 recent graduates and inquires whether or not they will attend college. Find the probability that at least 82% of the surveyed students will be attending college.

Respuesta :

Answer: 0.6368

Step-by-step explanation:

Given : The proportion of z-test for population mean : [tex]\hat{p}= 0.80[/tex]

Sample size : [tex]n=45[/tex]

We assume that this is normally distributed.

The test statistic for population proportion :-

[tex]z=\dfrac{\hat{p}-p_0}{\sqrt{\dfrac{p_0(1-p_0)}{n}}}[/tex]

Now, for [tex]p_0=0.82[/tex], we have

[tex]z=\dfrac{0.80-0.82}{\sqrt{\dfrac{0.82(1-0.82)}{45}}}\\\\\approx-0.35[/tex]

By using the standard normal distribution table , the probability that at least 82% of the surveyed students will be attending college will be :-

[tex]P(p\geq0.82)=P(z\geq-0.35)\\\\=1-P(z<-0.35)\\\\=1-0.3631693\approx0.6368307\approx0.6368[/tex]

Hence, the probability that at least 82% of the surveyed students will be attending college = 0.6368

The probability that at least 82% of the surveyed students will be attending college is 0.6368 approximately.

How to find the corresponding value of z test statistic for a value of proportion random variable?

Suppose the population proportion mean be denoted by [tex]\hat{p}[/tex] and the population proportion random variable be denoted by [tex]p[/tex]

Then, the z-test statistic's value for [tex]p = p_0[/tex]  for sample of size n is specified by

[tex]z = \dfrac{\hat{p} - p_0}{\sqrt{\dfrac{p_0(1-p_0)}{n}}}[/tex]

For this case, if we take;

p = random variable taking values of the proportion of number of students graduating from high school from the sample of size 40,

then, we have:

[tex]\hat{p} = 80\% = 0.80[/tex] = mean  population proportion

and we want to know the probability for p [tex]\geq[/tex] 82% = 0.82 for sample size n = 45

The z score or z-test statistic for p = 0.82 (see its equal right now and not greater or equal) is obtained as:

[tex]z = \dfrac{\hat{p} - p_0}{\sqrt{\dfrac{p_0(1-p_0)}{n}}}\\\\z = \dfrac{0.80 - 0.82}{\sqrt{\dfrac{0.82(0.18)}{45}}} \approx -0.34[/tex]

The probability for p [tex]\geq[/tex] 82% = 0.82 for sample size n = 45, is therefore can be written as:

[tex]P(Z \geq z \approx -0.35)[/tex] where Z is the standard normal variate.

This is rewritten as:

[tex]P(Z \geq -0.35) = 1 - P(Z < -0.35)[/tex]

From z-tables, the p value for Z  = -0.35 is 0.3632, this is the probability of [tex]P(Z \leq -0.35)[/tex]
Since individual values have 0 probability in continuous distribution, therefore we get:

[tex]P(Z \geq -0.35) = 1 - P(Z < -0.35) = 1 - P(Z \leq -0.35) \approx 1 - 0.3632\\P(Z \gqe -0.35) \approx 0.6368[/tex]

Thus, the probability that at least 82% of the surveyed students will be attending college is 0.6368 approximately.

Learn more about sample proportion here:

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